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THE BATTLE OF BRISTOL

BY JONATHAN BLUM, KAGAN

The struggle between Full Channel TV and Cox Communications over Bristol County, R.I., is particularly vivid. Rhode Island is one the few states that collects actual subscriber data. The lesson to be learned is clear: Competition has made Bristol a tough place for cable operators. The incumbent, Full Channel, began 2000 with a 60% penetration rate, or about 11,900 subs; by early 2002 that number shrank to 47%, or 9,434 customers. The reasons for the drastic loss are twofold: Cox rolled out its own network that featured improved products and service and grabbed about 2,900 customers by the beginning of 2003. DBS did the rest of the damage. We estimate that satellite now takes 4,000 subs, for roughly a 20% market penetration. In Bristol, either you offer high-quality products and serve your customers well, or they'll surely go someplace else.

BRISTOL, R.I., AREA MARKET COMPARISON FULL CHANNEL TELEVISION VS. COX COMMUNICATIONS
2000 2001 2002 2003
Rhode Island cable homes passed 430,088 431,364 441,271 457,451
Cox Rhode Island cable subs 288,919 294,554 297,975 302,889
% penetration 67% 68% 68% 66%
Total Bristol-area homes passed* 19,946 20,284 19,881 19,881
Full Channel Bristol-area basic subs 11,900 11,506 10,905 9,434
% penetration 60% 57% 55% 47%
Cox Bristol-area subs ** - - 134 2,940
% penetration 0% 0% 1% 15%
Estimated Bristol/Warren/Barrington DBS subs 1,755 2,718 3,579 3,976
Estimated DBS % penetration 9% 13% 18% 20%
* INCLUDES BRISTOL, WARREN AND BARRINGTON AREAS. WARREN NOT YET DEPLOYED
** YEAR 2002 FOR BARRINGTON AREA ONLY
SOURCE: KAGAN WORLD MEDIA ESTIMATES, RHODE ISLAND PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION AND COMPANY DATA.

For a complete look at the cable industry's performance relative to other media, see ?Cable TV Advertising Report? at www.kagan.com/cw.

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