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BY JONATHAN BLUM, KAGAN
Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) is showing new life. A recent survey shows there are currently 110,000 homes passed by FTTH with an estimated 10,000 actual subs. MSOs should pay attention: 71% of these customers are served by overbuilds that could become more common. Already a medium-sized municipality is rumored to be rolling out a fresh FTTH plant, and new FCC unbundling rules give the technology new cache. Bullish estimates call for 1.4 million homes passed with 280,000 subs served by 2004. That's not trivial.
FIBER-TO-THE-HOME NEAR-TERM DEPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS
|
|
2001 |
2002 |
Current |
2003 |
2004 |
| (ALL DATA IN THOUSANDS) |
| FTTH Homes Passed |
19.4 |
72.1 |
110.0 |
315.0 |
1,400.0 |
|
Overbuilt |
13.8 |
51.1 |
78.1 |
223.6 |
994.0 |
|
Greenfield |
5.6 |
20.9 |
31.9 |
91.4 |
406.0 |
| % Penetration |
5.6% |
7.7% |
9.2% |
12.7% |
20.0% |
| FTTH Subs |
1,078 |
5,568 |
10,102 |
39,884 |
280,556 |
| SOURCE: KAGAN WORLD MEDIA ESTIMATES AND RENDER, VANDERSLICE & ASSOC AND FTTH COUNCIL |
Go to ?Broadband Technology? at www.kagan.com/cw.
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